With ongoing efforts to improve the value of health care in the U.S. and reduce wasteful spending, we examine empirically the value tradeoffs involved in an additional day in a skilled nursing facility (SNF) after hospital discharge. To control for potential endogeneity, we use the percentage of Medicare beneficiaries enrolled in Medicare Advantage in each county-year as an instrument for individuals’ SNF length of stay among Traditional Medicare beneficiaries, as local Medicare Advantage penetration puts downward pressure on SNF length of stay for all SNF patients but does not directly affect utilization management of those enrolled in Traditional Medicare. We also test for heterogeneity in treatment effect across patients by clinical complexity and two non-health-related factors, marital status and nursing home profit status. We find that one additional day in a SNF lowers short-term readmission rates, but this effect is small and heterogeneous across patient-types. The most clinically complex patients (those with the longest predicted SNF stays) benefit the most from an additional SNF day, as do patients whose stays are shorter due to non-health-related factors. The cost savings from reduced readmission rates are small and do not offset the additional SNF costs.
Publications
The value of an additional day of post-acute care in a skilled nursing facility
Werner RM, Coe NB, Qi M, Konetzka T: The value of an additional day of post-acute care in a skilled nursing facility. American Journal of Health Economics 8(4), Jul 2022.
Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Dementia Care Next Steps
No abstract available
Coe NB, Lee C: Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Dementia Care: Next Steps (Invited Commentary, Geriatrics) JAMA Network Open 5(6): e2216267, Jun 2022.
The Impact of Care Intensity and Work on the Mental Health of Family Caregivers: Losses and Gains
We estimate the causal impact of intensive caregiving, defined as providing at least 80 h of care per month, and work on the mental health of caregivers while considering possible sources of endogeneity in these relationships.
Kolodziej I, Coe NB, Van Houtven C: The Impact of Care Intensity and Work on the Mental Health of Family Caregivers: Losses and Gains. The Journal of Gerontology: Social Sciences 77(Suppl_1): S98-S111, May 2022.
Younger Individuals Increase Their Use of Nursing Homes Following ACA Medicaid Expansion
This study examines the effect of Medicaid eligibility expansion under the Affordable Care Act (ACA) on the utilization of nursing home services by younger individuals and those covered by Medicaid.
Ritter A, Freed S, Coe NB: Younger Individuals Increase Their Use of Nursing Homes Following ACA Medicaid Expansion. Journal of the American Medical Directors Association 23(5): 852-857, May 2022.
Out-of-pocket costs attributable to dementia: A longitudinal analysis
Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (ADRD) affect 5.7 million Americans, and are expensive despite the lack of a cure or even treatments effective in managing the disease. The literature thus far has tended to focus on the costs to Medicare, even though one of the main characteristics of ADRD (the loss of independence and ability to care for oneself) incurs costs not covered by Medicare. In this paper, we use survey data for 2002-2016 from the Health and Retirement Study to estimate the out-of-pocket costs of ADRD for the patient and their family through the first 8 years after the onset of symptoms, as defined by a standardized 27-point scale of cognitive ability. A two-part model developed by Basu and Manning (2010) allows us to separate the costs attributable to ADRD into two components, one driven by differences in longevity and one driven by differences in utilization.
Oney M, White L, Coe NB: Out-of-pocket costs attributable to dementia: A longitudinal analysis. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society (JAGS) 70(5): 1538-1545, May 2022.
Insurance coverage and health care spending by state-level Medigap regulations
Medigap protects traditional Medicare (TM) beneficiaries against catastrophic expenses. Federal regulations around Medigap enrollment and pricing are limited to the first 6 months after turning 65 years old. Eight states institute regulations that apply to later enrollment; half use community rating (charging everyone the same premium) and half use both community rating and guaranteed issue (requiring insurers to accept any beneficiary irrespective of health conditions). We examined the impact of state-level Medigap regulations on insurance coverage and health care spending for Medicare beneficiaries.
Park S, Coe NB: Insurance Coverage and Health Care spending by State-level Medigap Regulations. American Journal of Managed Care 28(4), Apr 2022.
Racial and ethnic disparities in access to and enrollment in high-quality Medicare Advantage plans
Racial and ethnic minority enrollees in Medicare Advantage (MA) plans tend to be in lower-quality plans, measured by a 5-star quality rating system. We examine whether differential access to high-rated plans was associated with this differential enrollment in high-rated plans by race and ethnicity among MA enrollees.
Park S, Werner RM, Coe NB: Racial and ethnic disparities in access to and enrollment in high-quality Medicare Advantage plans. Health Services Research Mar 2022 Notes: Online ahead of print.
Public spending on acute and long-term care for Alzheimer's disease and related dementias
We estimate the spending attributable to Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (ADRD) to the United States government for the first 5 years post-diagnosis.
Coe NB, White L, Oney M, Basu A, Larson EB: Public spending on acute and long-term care for Alzheimer's disease and related dementias. Alzheimer's & Dementia: the journal of the Alzheimer's Association Mar 2022 Notes: Online ahead of print.
Effects of Medicare advantage on patterns of end-of-life care among Medicare decedents
To examine the effects of Medicare Advantage (MA) enrollment on patterns of end-of-life care.
Park S, Teno JM, White L, Coe NB: Effects of Medicare advantage on patterns of end-of-life care among Medicare decedents. Health Services Research 57(4): 863-871, Feb 2022.
Evaluation and disposition of older adults presenting to the emergency department with abdominal pain
Abdominal pain is the most common chief complaint in US emergency departments (EDs) among patients over 65, who are at high risk of mortality or incident disability after the ED encounter. We sought to characterize the evaluation, management, and disposition of older adults who present to the ED with abdominal pain. We performed a survey-weighted analysis of the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NHAMCS), comparing older adults with a chief complaint of abdominal pain to those without. Visits from 2013 to 2017 to nationally representative EDs were included. We analyzed 81,509 visits to 1211 US EDs, which projects to 531,780,629 ED visits after survey weighting. We report the diagnostic testing, evaluation, management, additional reasons for visit, and disposition of ED visits.
Friedman AB, Chen A, Wu RR, Coe NB, Halpern SD, Hwang U, Kelz RR, Cappola AR: Evaluation and Disposition of Older Adults Presenting to the Emergency Department with Abdominal Pain Journal of the American Geriatrics Society (JAGS) 70(2): 501-511, Feb 2022.