Publications

Quality of Hospices Used by Medicare Advantage and Traditional Fee-for-Service Beneficiaries

Although enrollment in both hospice care and Medicare Advantage (MA) have grown substantially, little is known about the quality of hospice care received by MA beneficiaries relative to traditional Medicare fee-for-service (FFS) beneficiaries. To compare hospice enrollment and the quality of hospices serving MA and FFS beneficiaries. This population-based cross-sectional study used Medicare enrollment and claims data from January 1, 2018, through December 31, 2019, and Hospice Quality Reporting Program (HQRP) data released between November 1, 2020, and August 30, 2022, to compare the probability of enrolling in hospice before death and the probability of using high- vs low-quality hospices between MA and FFS beneficiaries. Two sample populations were assessed: (1) all Medicare beneficiaries who died in 2018 or 2019, and (2) all Medicare hospice enrollees in 2018 and 2019, excluding beneficiaries with hospice use in 2017. Data were analyzed between April 1, 2023, and April 30, 2024. MA enrollment was assessed 6 months prior to death for decedents and in the month of hospice admission for hospice enrollees. MA beneficiaries were further classified by plan type: regular MA, special needs plan (SNP), and Medicare-Medicaid plan (MMP). For decedents, the outcome of interest was the prevalence of any hospice use in the last 6 months of life. For hospice enrollees, the outcome of interest was 9 HQRP measures of hospice quality. Data from 4 215 648 decedents (51.6% female; mean [SD] age, 80.1 [11.6] years) and 2 211 826 hospice enrollees (56.6% female; mean [SD] age, 82.4 [10.5] years) were included. In the decedent sample, beneficiaries enrolled in every type of MA plan were significantly more likely than beneficiaries enrolled in FFS to use hospice care in the last 6 months of life (regular MA beneficiaries were 3.4 percentage points more likely to use hospice; MA SNP beneficiaries, 2.4 percentage points; and MA MMP beneficiaries, 3.6 percentage points). Regular MA and FFS beneficiaries enrolled in hospices of similar quality. However, beneficiaries in SNPs and MMPs were significantly more likely than FFS beneficiaries to use hospices with inferior quality (eg, MA SNP beneficiaries were 4.3 [95% CI, 3.9-4.7] percentage points more likely to use a hospice with a low Consumer Assessment of Healthcare Providers and Systems (CAHPS) global rating, and MA MMP beneficiaries were 6.8 [95% CI, 6.0-7.7] percentage points more likely). When beneficiaries entered hospice from the same hospital or nursing home the results were attenuated: the MA SNP beneficiaries entering from the same hospital were 0.9 (95% CI, 0.5-1.4) percentage points more likely to use a hospice with a low CAHPS global rating, and MA MMP beneficiaries were 3.8 (95% CI, 2.4-5.1) percentage points more likely; MA SNP beneficiaries entering from the same nursing home were 2.8 (95% CI, 2.3-3.3) percentage points more likely to use a hospice with a low CAHPS global rating, and MA MMP beneficiaries were 1.9 (95% CI, 0.9-2.9) percentage points more likely. These results suggest that referral networks were an important mechanism of the hospice quality choice. These findings suggest that policymakers should consider policies for MA programs that incentivize referrals to high-quality hospices and approaches to educating beneficiaries on identifying high-quality hospice care.


 

White LLY, Sun C, Coe NB: Quality of Hospices Used by Medicare Advantage and Traditional Fee-for-Service Beneficiaries. JAMA Network Open 7(12): e2451227, Dec 2024.

The role of Medicaid home and community-based services in use of Medicare post-acute care

Medicaid-funded long-term services and supports are increasingly provided through home- and community-based services (HCBS) to promote continued community living. While an emerging body of evidence examines the direct benefits and costs of HCBS, there may also be unexplored synergies with Medicare-funded post-acute care (PAC). This study aimed to provide empirical evidence on how the use of Medicaid HCBS influences Medicare PAC utilization among the dually enrolled. National Medicare claims, Medicaid claims, nursing home assessment data, and home health assessment data from 2016 to 2018. We estimated the relationship between prior Medicaid HCBS use and PAC (skilled nursing facilities [SNF] or home health) utilization in a national sample of duals with qualifying index hospitalizations. We used inverse probability weights to create balanced samples on observed characteristics and estimated multivariable regression with hospital fixed effects and extensive controls. We also conducted stratified analyses for key subgroups. The primary sample included 887,598 hospital discharges from community-dwelling duals who had an eligible index hospitalization between April 1, 2016, and September 30, 2018. We found HCBS use was associated with a 9 percentage-point increase in the use of home health relative to SNF, conditional on using PAC, and a meaningful reduction in length of stay for those using SNF. In addition, in our primary sample, we found HCBS use to be associated with an overall increase in PAC use, given that the absolute increase in home health use was larger than the absolute decrease in SNF use. In other words, the use of Medicaid-funded HCBS was associated with a shift in Medicare-funded PAC use toward home-based settings. Our findings indicate potential synergies between Medicaid-funded HCBS and increased use of home-based PAC, suggesting policymakers should cautiously consider these dynamics in HCBS expansion efforts.

Wang S, Werner RM, Coe NB, Chua R, QI M, Konetzka RT: The role of Medicaid home and community-based services in use of Medicare post-acute care. Health Services Research May 2024.

Increasing expenditures on home- and community-based services: Do home care workers benefit?

To examine the association of Medicaid home- and community-based services (HCBS) expenditures on the home care workforce. We use two national, secondary data sources from 2008 to 2019: state-level Medicaid HCBS expenditures and the American Community Survey, in which we identify direct care workers in the home (i.e., home care workers), defined as nursing, psychiatric, and home health aides or personal care aides working in home health care services, individual and family services, and private households. Our key explanatory variable is HCBS expenditures per state per year. To estimate the association between changes in Medicaid HCBS expenditures and the workforce size, hourly wages and hours worked, we use negative binomial, linear, and generalized ordered logit regression, respectively. All models include demographic and socioeconomic characteristics, the number of potential HCBS beneficiaries (individuals with a disability and income under the federal maximum income eligibility limits), indicators for minimum wage and/or overtime protections for direct care workers, wage pass-through policies, and state and year fixed effects. We exclude states with incomplete reporting of expenditures. States' HCBS expenditures increased between 2008 and 2019 after adjusting for inflation and the number of potential HCBS beneficiaries. Yet, home care workers' wages remained stagnant at $11-12/h. We find no association between changes in Medicaid HCBS expenditures and wages. For every additional $1 million in Medicaid HCBS expenditures, the expected number of workers increases by 1.2 and the probability of working overtime increased (0.0015% points; p < 0.05). Results are largely robust under multiple sensitivity analyses. We find no evidence of a statistically significant relationship between changes in state-level changes in Medicaid HCBS expenditures and worker wages but do find a significant, but small, association with hours worked and workforce size.

Miller KEM, Coe NB, Kreider AR, Hoffman A, Rhode K, Gonalons-Pons P: Increasing expenditures on home- and community-based services: Do home care workers benefit? Health Services Research Oct 2024.

Youth Caregivers of Adults in the United States: Prevalence and the Association Between Caregiving and Education

A growing proportion of individuals adopt family caregiving roles. Family caregivers are the primary providers of long-term care in the United States yet limited federal policy supports exist, despite the known negative impacts of caregiving. There is also limited information about the prevalence of youth/young adult caregivers and the impacts of caregiving at formative ages in the United States. Our objective is to estimate the prevalence of youth caregivers and examine the association of caregiving with educational investments. We use the American Time Use Survey (2013-2019) to identify and describe youth caregivers (aged 15-18) and young adult caregivers (aged 19-22) and compare them with non-caregiving peers. We estimate that there are approximately 1,623,000 youth caregivers and 1,986,000 young adult caregivers, corresponding to 9.2% and 12.7% of these age groups, respectively. However, there is a wide range in the estimated prevalence per year, from approximately 364,000 to 2.8 million youth caregivers and from 353,000 to 2.2 million young adult caregivers, depending on caregiver definition. Unlike adult caregivers, we find that young men and women were nearly equally likely to provide care. We also find that non-White individuals are disproportionately represented as youth caregivers. Compared with non-caregiving peers, both youth and young adult caregivers are less likely to be enrolled in school and, among those enrolled in school, spend significantly less time on educational activities. Considering the association of caregiving among youth/young adults and education, policies supporting youth and young adult caregivers are critical.

Miller KEM, Hart JL, Rosania MU, Coe NB: Youth Caregivers of Adults in the United States: Prevalence and the Association Between Caregiving and Education. Demography 61(3): 829-847, May 2024.

Money may matter: Financial hardship and its association with satisfaction of care among people living with dementia

No abstract available

Miller KEM, White L, Coe NB, Khandelwal N: Money may matter: Financial hardship and its association with satisfaction of care among people living with dementia. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society 72(4): 1272-1274, Apr 2024.

Caregiving for Dementia: Trends pre-post onset and predictive factors of family caregiving (2002-2018)

Persons living with Alzheimer's and other related forms of dementia rely heavily on care from family and friends for assistance with daily activities ("family care"), but little is known about care transitions over time. We analyzed data from the Health and Retirement Study to describe caregiving patterns, from 2 years before dementia onset and up to 6 years after. Using sociodemographic data from the interview prior to dementia onset, we determined if there are significant factors that predict receipt of family care at dementia onset. We found that one-third (33%) of people living with dementia were receiving help with daily activities 2 years prior to their first positive dementia screen and this increased to 60% during the first positive screen. Nearly all of those receiving assistance received family care. We found multiple significant predictors of receiving family care at onset, including race, education, access to private health insurance, number of activities of daily living that were difficult, number of chronic conditions, and already receiving help. This demonstrates potential gaps in dementia care, and which subpopulations may benefit most from targeted interventions for household members who do not have adequate caregiving resources or programs that provide additional formal care.

Ingraham BC, Barthold D, Fishman P, Coe NB: Caregiving for Dementia: Trends pre-post onset and predictive factors of family caregiving (2002-2018). Health Affairs Scholar 2(3): qxae020, Mar 2024.

Does consumer credit precede or follow health among older adults? An investigation in the Advanced Cognitive Training for Independent and Vital Elderly (ACTIVE) Trial

Consumer credit has shown increasing relevance to the health of older adults; however, studies have not been able to assess the extent to which creditworthiness influences future health or health influences future creditworthiness. We assessed the relationships between 4-year pre and postmorbid consumer credit history and self-rated physical and mental health outcomes among older adults. Generalized estimating equations models assessed pre and postmorbid credit history (credit scores, derogatory accounts, and unpaid accounts in collections) and the onset of poor self-rated health (SF-36 score <50) among 1,740 participants aged 65+ in the Advanced Cognitive Training for Independent and Vital Elderly study from 2001 to 2017, linked to TransUnion consumer credit data. In any given year, up to 1/4 of participants had a major derogatory, unpaid, or collections account, and up to 13% of the sample had poor health. Each 50-point increase in credit score trended toward a 5% lower odds of poor health in the next 1 year, a 6% lower odds in the next 2 years, and a statistically significant finding of 13% lower odds by 3 years. A drop in credit score was associated with a 10% greater odds of poor health in the next year, and having a major derogatory account was associated with an 86% greater odds of poor health in the next 3 years. After poor health onset, credit scores continued to see significant losses up to the 3 years, with larger decrements over time. Having a major derogatory account or a sudden loss in credit may be a time to monitor older adults for changes in health. After a downturn in health, supporting older adults to manage their debt may help stabilize their credit.

Dean LT, Chung S, Gross AL, Clay OJ, Willis SL, McDonough IM, Thomas KR, Marsiske M, Aysola J, Thorpe Jr. RJ, Felix C, Berkowitz M, Coe NB: Does consumer credit precede or follow health among older adults? An investigation in the Advanced Cognitive Training for Independent and Vital Elderly (ACTIVE) Trial. Innovation in Aging 8(3): igae016, Feb 2024.

Family spillovers and long-term care insurance

We examine how long-term care insurance (LTCI) affects informal care use and expectations among the insured individuals and co-residence and labor market outcomes of their adult children. We address the endogeneity of LTCI coverage by instrumenting for LTCI with changes in state tax treatment of LTCI insurance policies. We do not find evidence of reductions in informal care use over a horizon of approximately eight years. However, we find that LTCI coverage reduces parents' perceptions of the willingness of their children to care for them in the future and that the behavior of adult children changes, with LTCI resulting in lower likelihoods of adult children co-residing and stronger labor market attachment. These findings provide empirical support for the presence of spillovers of LTCI on the economic behaviors of family members.

Coe, N. B., Goda, G. S., & Van Houtven, C. H. (2023). Family spillovers and long-term care insurance. Journal of health economics90, 102781. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2023.102781

Can a Home-Based Collaborative Care Model Reduce Health Services Utilization for Older Medicaid Beneficiaries Living with Depression and Co-occurring Chronic Conditions? A Quasi-experimental Study

Depression remains a major public health issue for older adults, increasing risk of costly health services utilization. While home-based collaborative care models (CCM) like PEARLS have been shown to effectively treat depression in low-income older adults living with multiple chronic conditions, their economic impact is unclear. We conducted a quasi-experimental study to estimate PEARLS effect on health service utilization among low-income older adults. Our secondary data analysis merged de-identified PEARLS program data (N = 1106), home and community-based services (HCBS) administrative data (N = 16,096), and Medicaid claims and encounters data (N = 164) from 2011 to 2016 in Washington State. We used nearest neighbor propensity matching to create a comparison group of social service recipients similar to PEARLS participants on key determinants of utilization guided by Andersen's Model. Primary outcomes were inpatient hospitalizations, emergency room (ER) visits, and nursing home days; secondary outcomes were long-term supports and services (LTSS), mortality, depression and health. We used an event study difference-in-difference (DID) approach to compare outcomes. Our final dataset included 164 older adults (74% female, 39% people of color, mean PHQ-9 12.2). One-year post-enrollment, PEARLS participants had statistically significant improvements in inpatient hospitalizations (69 fewer hospitalizations per 1000 member months, p = 0.02) and 37 fewer nursing home days (p < 0.01) than comparison group participants; there were no significant improvements in ER visits. PEARLS participants also experienced lower mortality. This study shows the potential value of home-based CCM for participants, organizations and policymakers. Future research is needed to examine potential cost savings.

Steinman, L., Xing, J., Court, B., Coe, N. B., Yip, A., Hill, C., Rector, B., Baquero, B., Weiner, B. J., & Snowden, M. (2023). Can a Home-Based Collaborative Care Model Reduce Health Services Utilization for Older Medicaid Beneficiaries Living with Depression and Co-occurring Chronic Conditions? A Quasi-experimental Study. Administration and policy in mental health50(5), 712–724. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10488-023-01271-0

Addressing Serious Illness Care in Medicare Advantage

No abstract available

Ankuda, C. K., Aldridge, M. D., Braun, R. T., Coe, N. B., Grabowski, D. C., Meyers, D. J., Ryan, A., Stevenson, D., & Teno, J. M. (2023). Addressing Serious Illness Care in Medicare Advantage. The New England journal of medicine388(19), 1729–1732. https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMp2302252