Alternative payment models, such as bundled payment, have been proposed as a solution to the high costs of health care. While these models are typically effective at constraining spending on post-acute care, the decrease in consumption of formal post-acute care may result in a compensatory increase in the need for and use of informal or family caregiving. We estimate the effect of a large, randomized experiment with Medicare bundled payment on the need for and receipt of caregiving. Using data on over 2 million Medicare beneficiaries undergoing knee or hip replacement and a difference-in-differences approach, we find that the mandatory bundled payment caused a 1 to 2 percentage point absolute increase (a 9 percent to 14–15 percent relative increase) in both the need for and receipt of help with activities of daily living at the end of a home health episode, help that was likely provided by family caregivers. This increased caregiver burden was corroborated by a large shift away from nursing-home-based post-acute care (or care in a skilled nursing facility or SNF) after knee or hip replacement, a shift toward home health care, and an accompanying decline in the intensity of home care.
Aging
The Effects of Post-Acute Care Payment Reform on the Need For and Receipt of Caregiving
Steinman, L., Xing, J., Court, B., Coe, N. B., Yip, A., Hill, C., Rector, B., Baquero, B., Weiner, B. J., & Snowden, M. (2023). Can a home-based collaborative care model reduce health services utilization for older Medicaid beneficiaries living with depression and co-occurring chronic conditions? A quasi-experimental study. Administration and Policy in Mental Health and Mental Health Services Research, 50(5), 712–724. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10488-023-01271-0
Does consumer credit precede or follow health among older adults? An investigation in the Advanced Cognitive Training for Independent and Vital Elderly (ACTIVE) Trial
Consumer credit has shown increasing relevance to the health of older adults; however, studies have not been able to assess the extent to which creditworthiness influences future health or health influences future creditworthiness. We assessed the relationships between 4-year pre and postmorbid consumer credit history and self-rated physical and mental health outcomes among older adults. Generalized estimating equations models assessed pre and postmorbid credit history (credit scores, derogatory accounts, and unpaid accounts in collections) and the onset of poor self-rated health (SF-36 score <50) among 1,740 participants aged 65+ in the Advanced Cognitive Training for Independent and Vital Elderly study from 2001 to 2017, linked to TransUnion consumer credit data. In any given year, up to 1/4 of participants had a major derogatory, unpaid, or collections account, and up to 13% of the sample had poor health. Each 50-point increase in credit score trended toward a 5% lower odds of poor health in the next 1 year, a 6% lower odds in the next 2 years, and a statistically significant finding of 13% lower odds by 3 years. A drop in credit score was associated with a 10% greater odds of poor health in the next year, and having a major derogatory account was associated with an 86% greater odds of poor health in the next 3 years. After poor health onset, credit scores continued to see significant losses up to the 3 years, with larger decrements over time. Having a major derogatory account or a sudden loss in credit may be a time to monitor older adults for changes in health. After a downturn in health, supporting older adults to manage their debt may help stabilize their credit.
Dean LT, Chung S, Gross AL, Clay OJ, Willis SL, McDonough IM, Thomas KR, Marsiske M, Aysola J, Thorpe Jr. RJ, Felix C, Berkowitz M, Coe NB: Does consumer credit precede or follow health among older adults? An investigation in the Advanced Cognitive Training for Independent and Vital Elderly (ACTIVE) Trial. Innovation in Aging 8(3): igae016, Feb 2024.
Growth of Private Pay Senior Housing Communities in Metropolitan Statistical Areas in the United States: 2015-2019
Older adults needing assistance with activities of daily living can receive support in various settings. Senior housing communities, such as independent living, assisted living, and continuing care retirement communities, are an increasingly popular option for adults not requiring nursing home-level care. However, limited research exists due to a dearth of data on these types of communities. We use a proprietary data set to describe the market of private pay senior housing and community-level characteristics in 140 metropolitan statistical areas, from 2015 to 2019. Although the number of senior housing communities increased substantially, the supply of senior housing options supporting the continuum of care has not necessarily kept up with population growth. Describing the supply of senior housing communities across the spectrum of levels of care provides a more complete description of the formal noninstitutional long-term care supply among the 140 most populated metropolitan statistical areas.
Miller KEM, Zhao Jiayi, Laine LT, Coe NB: Growth of Private Pay Senior Housing Communities in Metropolitan Statistical Areas in the United States: 2015-2019. Medical Care Research Review (MCRR) 80(1): 101-108, Feb 2023.
Does Consumer Credit Precede or Follow Changes in Cognitive Impairment Among Older Adults? An Investigation in the Advanced Cognitive Training for Independent and Vital Elderly (ACTIVE) Trial
Objectives: We assessed the relationships between pre- and post-morbid consumer credit history (credit scores, debts unpaid, or in collections) and classification of mild (or greater) cognitive impairment (MCI). Methods: Generalized Estimating Equation models assessed pre-and post-morbid credit history and MCI risk among 1740 participants aged 65+ in the Advanced Cognitive Training for Independent and Vital Elderly (ACTIVE) study, linked to TransUnion consumer credit data. Results: Each 50-point increase in credit score was associated with up to 8% lower odds of MCI in the next 3 years. In contrast, new unpaid collections over doubled the odds of having MCI in the next 3 years. MCI was associated with subsequent credit score declines and a 47%–71% greater risk of having a new unpaid collection in the next 4 years. Discussion: Credit declines may signal risk for future MCI. MCI may lead to financial challenges that warrant credit monitoring interventions for older adults.
Dean LT, Chung S, Gross AL, Clay OJ, Willis SL, Crowe M, McDonough IM, Thomas KR, Marsiske M, Aysola J, Thorpe RJ, Felix C, Berkowitz M, Coe NM: Does Consumer Credit Precede or Follow Changes in Cognitive Impairment Among Older Adults? An Investigation in the Advanced Cognitive Training for Independent and Vital Elderly (ACTIVE) Trial. Journal of Aging and Health 35(9_suppl): 84S-94S, Oct 2023.
Gender of Study Partners and Research Participants Associated with Differences in Study Partner Ratings of Cognition and Activity Level
Studies of Alzheimer's disease typically include "study partners" (SPs) who report on participants' cognition and function. Prior studies show SP reports differ depending on the relationship between the SP and participant, that is, spouse or adult child. Adult children SPs are typically female. Could differing reports be due to gender? Knowing this may help explain variability in measurement.
Stites, S. D., Gurian, A., Coykendall, C., Largent, E. A., Harkins, K., Karlawish, J., & Coe, N. B. (2023). Gender of Study Partners and Research Participants Associated With Differences in Study Partner Ratings of Cognition and Activity Level. The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences, 78(8), 1318–1329. https://doi.org/10.1093/geronb/gbad026
Association of Medicare Advantage Star Ratings With Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Hospitalizations for Ambulatory Care Sensitive Conditions
Enrollment in high-quality Medicare Advantage (MA) plans, measured by a 5-star quality rating system, was lower among racial and ethnic minority enrollees than White enrollees partly due to fewer high-quality plans available in their counties of residence. This may contribute to racial and ethnic disparities in ambulatory care sensitive condition (ACSC) hospitalizations. We examined whether there were racial and ethnic disparities in ACSC hospitalizations among MA enrollees overall and by star rating.
Park S, Werner RM, Coe NB: Association of Medicare Advantage Star Ratings with Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Hospitalizations for Ambulatory Care Sensitive Conditions. Medical Care 60(12): 872-879, Dec 2022.
Association of Medicare Advantage star ratings with patterns of end-of-life care
No abstract available
Park S, Teno JM, White L, Coe NB: Association of Medicare Advantage star ratings with patterns of end-of-life care. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society Sep 2022 Notes: Online ahead of print.
Growth of Private Pay Senior Housing Communities in Metropolitan Statistical Areas in the United States: 2015-2019
Older adults needing assistance with activities of daily living can receive support in various settings. Senior housing communities, such as independent living, assisted living, and continuing care retirement communities, are an increasingly popular option for adults not requiring nursing home-level care. However, limited research exists due to a dearth of data on these types of communities. We use a proprietary data set to describe the market of private pay senior housing and community-level characteristics in 140 metropolitan statistical areas, from 2015 to 2019. Although the number of senior housing communities increased substantially, the supply of senior housing options supporting the continuum of care has not necessarily kept up with population growth. Describing the supply of senior housing communities across the spectrum of levels of care provides a more complete description of the formal noninstitutional long-term care supply among the 140 most populated metropolitan statistical areas.
Miller KE, Zhao Jiayi, Laine LT, Coe NB: Growth of Private Pay Senior Housing Communities in Metropolitan Statistical Areas in the United States: 2015-2019. Medical care research review (MCRR) Jul 2022 Notes: Online ahead of print.
The value of an additional day of post-acute care in a skilled nursing facility
With ongoing efforts to improve the value of health care in the U.S. and reduce wasteful spending, we examine empirically the value tradeoffs involved in an additional day in a skilled nursing facility (SNF) after hospital discharge. To control for potential endogeneity, we use the percentage of Medicare beneficiaries enrolled in Medicare Advantage in each county-year as an instrument for individuals’ SNF length of stay among Traditional Medicare beneficiaries, as local Medicare Advantage penetration puts downward pressure on SNF length of stay for all SNF patients but does not directly affect utilization management of those enrolled in Traditional Medicare. We also test for heterogeneity in treatment effect across patients by clinical complexity and two non-health-related factors, marital status and nursing home profit status. We find that one additional day in a SNF lowers short-term readmission rates, but this effect is small and heterogeneous across patient-types. The most clinically complex patients (those with the longest predicted SNF stays) benefit the most from an additional SNF day, as do patients whose stays are shorter due to non-health-related factors. The cost savings from reduced readmission rates are small and do not offset the additional SNF costs.
Werner RM, Coe NB, Qi M, Konetzka T: The value of an additional day of post-acute care in a skilled nursing facility. American Journal of Health Economics 8(4), Jul 2022.
Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Dementia Care Next Steps
No abstract available
Coe NB, Lee C: Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Dementia Care: Next Steps (Invited Commentary, Geriatrics) JAMA Network Open 5(6): e2216267, Jun 2022.